Buccaneers vs Falcons
Betting Tips for Thursday Night Football: Buccaneers vs Falcons
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NFL Week 5 Preview: Buccaneers vs. Falcons
The NFL’s Week 5 kicks off with an NFC South showdown between the division-leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) and the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) on “Thursday Night Football” at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
Both teams are coming off victories, with the Buccaneers defeating the Eagles and the Falcons clinching a dramatic win over the Saints with a 58-yard field goal just before the final whistle.
The Falcons initially opened as 2.5-point favorites for this matchup (O/U 42.5), but the line has now shifted to -1.5. Last season, the Buccaneers (+185 to win the NFC South) and Falcons (+160) each won one game in their series, with both victories occurring on the road.
Game Overview
Week 5’s Thursday night matchup features a key NFC South clash as the division-leading Buccaneers travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons.
The Kirk Cousins Era in Atlanta has had its challenges, but a thrilling last-minute victory over the Saints last week has rejuvenated the team. Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo, the second-highest-rated kicker in the NFL, has been a vital asset, using his exceptional accuracy to keep games competitive.
However, this hasn’t translated into strong results for bettors. The Falcons are just 1-3 against the spread this season, with all three losses occurring at home, two of which they were favored in.
Despite having skilled players like running back Bijan Robinson, Atlanta’s offense has struggled, ranking among the bottom five in several categories, including late-down conversion rate (31.9%), touchdown drive percentage (13.2%), and total points scored (30).
Some of these challenges stem from the quarterback position, where Kirk Cousins holds a PFF passing grade of 64.7, placing him 19th out of 33 qualifying quarterbacks. He has only made two big-time throws compared to seven plays deemed turnover-worthy—tied for the second-highest in the league. This week, he’ll need to improve against a Buccaneers defense that boasts the NFL’s second-highest team coverage grade (81.4) so far this season.
In contrast, Tampa Bay has shown strong performances on both offense and defense, highlighted by their recent impressive win over the Eagles as home underdogs.
Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers thrive in underdog situations, boasting a 2-0 record against the spread when receiving points, including a significant road victory in Detroit during Week 2.
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